Friday, May 11, 2007

Retail Sales Softening

Just a couple of charts on today's release of retail sales.

The first one is the change in sales from the same month last year (in dollars). For example, in April 2007 there were $11.4 billion more in sales than April 2006. All data is adjusted to reflect seasonal and trading day changes.

Change in retail sales from prior year - click to enlarge

The next chart shows the same Y-O-Y change, but in percentage terms.

Percent change in retail sales from prior year - click to enlarge

Consumer spending is 70% of GDP and about half of that comes in the form of retail sales, so the weakening pattern is clearly pointing to a soft economy.

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