Sudden Debt

It is not because things are difficult that we do not dare, it is because we do not dare that they are difficult.

Friday, October 6, 2023

Bonds And Money

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The US bond market is getting hammered lately as investors and traders realize that (a) the economy is not collapsing and (b) the Fed will k...
6 comments:
Monday, August 28, 2023

Debt To GDP For The US - We Have A Winner!

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Note: Numbers on Debt/GDP below have been calculated using GDP on a Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) basis.  Also, I have removed countries suc...
7 comments:
Sunday, August 27, 2023

US Inflation And The Fed

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 The one certainty from Mr Powell’s Jackson Hole speech a couple days ago is this: The Fed remains firmly committed to its 2% inflation targ...
4 comments:
Friday, August 25, 2023

Charting Tealeaves

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 In my experience, charting as a market analysis tool is as useful as reading tealeaves.  But, occasionally it actually works, so when I hav...
Thursday, August 24, 2023

Maybe The Real Reason Bond Prices Are Dropping Is...

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 Analysts are somewhat baffled by the drop in bond prices.  Inflation is moderating and the Fed is sending "hold" messages. So wha...
Wednesday, August 23, 2023

The Trillion Dollar Question

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A one question post today: Given its enormous debt load and the spike in interest rates driving debt service closer to unsustainable levels,...
3 comments:
Tuesday, August 22, 2023

More Trouble Ahead From Bonds

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I don't think most people realize the massive losses that have been suffered by bond investors in the last year and a half - take a look...
2 comments:
Monday, August 21, 2023

The Bond Market Is Sending A Warning

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 Those of us who are, or were, active in the professional/wholesale side of markets (eg interbank) know very well that bond markets lord ove...
5 comments:
Friday, August 18, 2023

Why, Oh Wise One?

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 Berkshire Hathaway, Mr. Buffett's primary investment vehicle, has investments in 56 publicly traded companies.  Yet, just one (Apple) m...
5 comments:
Sunday, August 13, 2023

Inflation Warning

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 Inflation has come down fast from its highs… but! It’s all due to sharply lower energy prices - see chart below. If it wasn’t for energy (i...
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About Me

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Hellasious
I was educated as a chemical engineer but spent almost my entire career in finance, particularly in money, FX and bond markets. The name stands for Hell-as-IOUs and the picture points to Quixotic endeavors.
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