Sudden Debt

It is not because things are difficult that we do not dare, it is because we do not dare that they are difficult.

Sunday, April 26, 2026

The Gulf's Other Product

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 We all know that the Gulf exports massive amounts of crude oil, refined products, LNG, fertilizer, helium, aluminum - and they all have to ...
Thursday, April 2, 2026

Never Ever Mention The Market

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 I hold this truth to be self evident:  Politicians should never, ever mention the stockmarket in their speeches. Why? Because when doing so...
4 comments:
Sunday, March 29, 2026

The Hidden Margin Debt

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  The latest available data puts US margin debt at an all time high of $1.25 trillion (FINRA, Feb. 2026) - see chart below.  But is this all...
Thursday, March 19, 2026

Inflation Or Deflation?

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The Iran War is causing energy prices to spike world-wide.  Energy is the most important cost element in consumer price inflation, since it ...
3 comments:
Monday, March 2, 2026

The Danger Of “Passive Investing”

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Warren Buffet is unquestionably the greatest value investor of all time. Yet, he may have unwittingly recommended the worst investment strat...
4 comments:
Monday, February 23, 2026

The Elephant In The Room

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What made America truly great was that from its start it took tens of millions of poor, underprivileged immigrants and transformed them into...
4 comments:
Friday, February 20, 2026

On The Risks Of Algo Trading

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 Algorithmic trading now accounts for 60-80% of all equity volume in the US.  Astonishing. I wonder... since algo trading is basically a tre...
1 comment:
Saturday, January 31, 2026

Mr. Warsh At The Fed

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 Mr. Warsh has just been nominated as Fed Chairman by President Trump.  If he acts on his old convictions, he will be an excellent choice, i...
5 comments:
Wednesday, December 31, 2025

I Bid 2025 Adieu

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 As we bid 2025 adieu, here is a list of what I think were the major themes of the past year and my views for the future. Donald Trump becam...
5 comments:
Tuesday, December 30, 2025

Why Are Banks Using The Fed's SRF?

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  Banks are repeatedly using the Fed's Standing Repo Facility (SRF)  recently, ie borrowing overnight funds directly from the Fed agains...
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About Me

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Hellasious
I was educated as a chemical engineer but spent almost my entire career in finance, particularly in money, FX and bond markets. The name stands for Hell-as-IOUs and the picture points to Quixotic endeavors.
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