Sudden Debt

It is not because things are difficult that we do not dare, it is because we do not dare that they are difficult.

Monday, March 2, 2026

The Danger Of “Passive Investing”

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Warren Buffet is unquestionably the greatest value investor of all time. Yet, he may have unwittingly recommended the worst investment strat...
4 comments:
Monday, February 23, 2026

The Elephant In The Room

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What made America truly great was that from its start it took tens of millions of poor, underprivileged immigrants and transformed them into...
4 comments:
Friday, February 20, 2026

On The Risks Of Algo Trading

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 Algorithmic trading now accounts for 60-80% of all equity volume in the US.  Astonishing. I wonder... since algo trading is basically a tre...
1 comment:
Saturday, January 31, 2026

Mr. Warsh At The Fed

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 Mr. Warsh has just been nominated as Fed Chairman by President Trump.  If he acts on his old convictions, he will be an excellent choice, i...
5 comments:
Wednesday, December 31, 2025

I Bid 2025 Adieu

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 As we bid 2025 adieu, here is a list of what I think were the major themes of the past year and my views for the future. Donald Trump becam...
5 comments:
Tuesday, December 30, 2025

Why Are Banks Using The Fed's SRF?

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  Banks are repeatedly using the Fed's Standing Repo Facility (SRF)  recently, ie borrowing overnight funds directly from the Fed agains...
Friday, December 26, 2025

The Price Of Memory

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 The title may sound poetic but the subject is prosaic :) I was curious at the large earnings upside surprise announced by Micron Technologi...
1 comment:
Tuesday, December 23, 2025

Interest Rates Disconnect

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Despite recent Fed rate cuts, long Treasury bond yields remain stubbornly high.  The chart below shows 3 month Tbill rates (black line) and ...
3 comments:
Monday, December 22, 2025

The End Of The Yen Carry Trade

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The news are everywhere, particularly amongst the breathless LinkedIn and Facebook pundits: The recent pivot of BOJ towards higher rates mar...
Friday, December 19, 2025

Quantum Computing Questions

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I readily profess that my working knowledge of computing goes back to FORTRAN IV - yes, punchcards and all! Therefore, today I use computers...
1 comment:
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Hellasious
I was educated as a chemical engineer but spent almost my entire career in finance, particularly in money, FX and bond markets. The name stands for Hell-as-IOUs and the picture points to Quixotic endeavors.
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