Sudden Debt

It is not because things are difficult that we do not dare, it is because we do not dare that they are difficult.

Tuesday, March 29, 2022

Biden’s Billionaire Tax

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 President Biden has proposed a new 20% “billionaire tax” for his 2023 budget.  Here’s a dumb question: given that (a) it targets the uber r...
5 comments:
Monday, March 28, 2022

Cut Consumption, Kill The Bear

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  Conventional wisdom: The West has shown remarkable unity in imposing sanctions against Russia.   They will hurt the invader so much that i...
Sunday, March 27, 2022

What’s Wrong With These Pictures?

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“This battle will not be won in days or months. We need to steel ourselves for a long fight ahead." US President Biden speaking in Pola...
Saturday, March 26, 2022

Yield Curve Warning

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 One of the better predictors of recessions is the yield curve, especially when it inverts and/or flattens out very fast (ie when short term...
Sunday, March 20, 2022

I Don’t Want To Title This Post…

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 Inflation at the highest in 40 years. Government debt at the highest ever.  Interest rates jumping.  What could possibly go wrong??? Put an...
3 comments:
Sunday, March 6, 2022

America's Empire Challenged

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 Russia's invasion of Ukraine may be explained in many tactical ways but the bottom line is this: Russia and China have decided that now...
1 comment:
Saturday, March 5, 2022

Gas Attack

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 A gas attack was the most fearsome weapon in the trenches of World War I.  A century later in another European war, it has taken a whole ne...
Sunday, February 27, 2022

Cold War Equals Cold Markets

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 Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is the first salvo of a New Cold War. It is Russia’s direct challenge against the global preeminence of the US...
1 comment:
Monday, February 14, 2022

Working Model

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 My current working model for financial markets is this: The flood of new money since 2008 has reached unprecedented highs during the pandem...
1 comment:
Thursday, February 10, 2022

Anyone Wondering Why Inflation Is At 40 Year High? Duh…

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 Just one chart in re the post’s title… Milton Friedman is shaking his head.
3 comments:
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Hellasious
I was educated as a chemical engineer but spent almost my entire career in finance, particularly in money, FX and bond markets. The name stands for Hell-as-IOUs and the picture points to Quixotic endeavors.
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