Sudden Debt

It is not because things are difficult that we do not dare, it is because we do not dare that they are difficult.

Thursday, April 28, 2022

Inflation, A Milton Friedman Chart

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 Milton Friedman once famously said: “Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon, in the sense that it is and can be produced ...
11 comments:
Monday, April 25, 2022

War In Ukraine: A Monetary Perspective

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What if the war in Ukraine has nothing to do with NATO, democracy vs. dictatorship, freedoms vs. tyranny? What if it is all about the Fed an...
10 comments:
Saturday, April 23, 2022

SPACe Cadets

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 Following up on the last post, remember where the Great Debt Crisis hit hardest? It was at those CDO “investments” constructed from putting...
3 comments:
Friday, April 22, 2022

Acronyms Are A Bitch!

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The last few years have seen the creation of a new batch of financial market acronyms: TINA: There Is No Alternative (to stocks) FOMO: Fear ...
1 comment:
Sunday, April 10, 2022

How Far Behind The Curve Is The Fed? Very

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 When inflation first started rising during the pandemic, the Fed insisted it was the temporary effect of supply chain disruptions.  And the...
11 comments:
Saturday, April 9, 2022

Fed On The QT Path

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 The Fed has all but officially announced that it will soon start shrinking its bloated balance sheet by approx. $90 billion per month.  And...
Tuesday, March 29, 2022

Biden’s Billionaire Tax

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 President Biden has proposed a new 20% “billionaire tax” for his 2023 budget.  Here’s a dumb question: given that (a) it targets the uber r...
5 comments:
Monday, March 28, 2022

Cut Consumption, Kill The Bear

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  Conventional wisdom: The West has shown remarkable unity in imposing sanctions against Russia.   They will hurt the invader so much that i...
Sunday, March 27, 2022

What’s Wrong With These Pictures?

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“This battle will not be won in days or months. We need to steel ourselves for a long fight ahead." US President Biden speaking in Pola...
Saturday, March 26, 2022

Yield Curve Warning

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 One of the better predictors of recessions is the yield curve, especially when it inverts and/or flattens out very fast (ie when short term...
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Hellasious
I was educated as a chemical engineer but spent almost my entire career in finance, particularly in money, FX and bond markets. The name stands for Hell-as-IOUs and the picture points to Quixotic endeavors.
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