Thursday, January 25, 2018

Greece: Various Data

The situation in Greece continues to improve.  Latest data:
  
  • The 5-year CDS (credit default swap) dropped to 292.9, the lowest point since the crisis began.


    • S&P upgraded Greece one notch to B, with positive outlook.
    • The 2-year  government note now yields 1.25%, a multi-year low.
    • Building permits for  October 2017 were up 16.4% vs. Oct. 2016.  More importantly, the surface area represented in these permits was up 67% and the buildings' volume up 109%.  This means that large structures are involved, exactly in line with my predictions for major hotel building/renovation activity, right after the conclusion of the tourism season.
    • Electricity consumption for the whole year 2017 was up 3%, with the middle-power segment showing the largest increase at 5.84%.  That's demand coming from hotels, restaurants and other medium size businesses.

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